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Agricultural Negotiations at the WTO
Perspectives of representatives

Outline and Overview

Perspective from representative of:-
USA
EU
Cairns Group
Developing Countries

Summary and Final Thoughts

Internal View; Future Agenda; Transnationals

Top US representative:

The WTO is having to explain itself since Seattle. The basic principle - trade is good. The WTO is making the ground rules. Politicised at national level.

US would want to see:-

  • 1. Elimination of export subsidies - as most trade distortive.
  • 2. Market access - reduction of tariffs, transparency of quotas, and a reduction of import quota tariffs. US is looking for export markets and is willing to accept opening of its own markets in return (50%+ is exported).
  • 3. Domestic support - removal of subsidies. Leaves question as to how farmers can be supported without distorting trade?

Developing countries need support - need to differentiate between genuine need and unfair competition. There are over 100 proposals for the next round which need defining; detailed discussion over what changes are needed. (Took place over two weeks immediately following this March 01 conference). The US is looking for an agricultural global round in November and decisions on topics for discussion have to be made by July. Nobody wants another Seattle. The developing countries want movement now and they are active participants, not US or EU dominated anymore. This is better for the WTO organisation but makes actual working out more difficult.

The US is working for a consensus basis not necessarily for 100% support - mutual agreement for national interest. However how can a consensus position be reached - not ever put to the vote!

US farmers are afraid of Argentina and Brazil. The US farm style cannot be replicated in the rest of the world.(20% of large farms produce 80% of goods). Many small farms are shown to be the ones to have support and capping. The WTO is not trying to dictate how to support farmers.

There is no one global type of farming - the UK has different farming dynamics - how can they be met? - by social policy??


Questions:

The integration of farming and tourism is threatened by the exports of other countries with a knock on effect on countryside and lifestyle. How can this problem be addressed?

  • The US sees an ageing population etc. as more of a threat than their exports.
    Agriculture is not seen as just another commodity. Some level of tariff is acceptable but they should not be excessive. There are problems of over-production and of 'dumping'.


Is there any way of making food prices relate to average personal income in individual countries?

  • In the US if a farm closes it is taken over by the next farm and the farmer moves to a different job; or the type of farming changes; or the land returns to prairie. Not a suitable solution for other countries.
  • There is an expectation that the US and the Ukraine will grow the world's grain; that China etc. (labour intensive) will provide the world's industry. Do not believe in sustainability. [Is that why US does not back the rules on climate change? ]


What about the destruction of other cultures/local cultures because of the WTO?

  • There are many other influences (e.g. TNCs). USDA ties with companies will be addressed by the 'Anti - trust' laws in the USA not by the WTO.

Questions remain over:-

  • OECD competition policy?;
  • How far can lowest cost of production go?;
  • Should GATT/GATS be re-considered?
  • Is a new model needed?

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Agricultural Negotiations at the WTO

EU representative:

Agriculture has been included in the WTO since the Uruguay Round - which is seen as beneficial. There is a move towards subsidy changes, reforms in the EU agricultural policy - CAP 2000.

Rural policy:- lower markets required; - direct income support (Blue + Green Boxes).

Follow on from Marrakesh:- liberalisation.

Domestic policies are decided in the light of background negotiations.

Agriculture is part of the 'built in' negotiations.

The EU is looking for a comprehensive new round in November, in the interests of the whole WTO membership. Over-all agreement will be easier if it is part of the wider negotiations. There can be trade-offs in agriculture (defensive interests) with other trade interests.

Looking for:-

  • liberalisation of our export markets.
  • sustainable development as a whole (plus the precautionary principle) to be taken on board. {There is a greater need for this following Seattle.}

How is it possible to integrate new EU members, with different structures to those in the EU at present?

The 'Peace Clause' is due to expire in 2003 - we need to settle subsidies for poorer farmers before then.

Need for balance with agriculture between trade concerns, domestic support and non-trade concerns. (The multi-functional role of agriculture; land, food safety, animal welfare, rural communities and social concerns.) There is an adverse effect overall when farmers withdraw. The role of farmers in maintaining the social tissue of society has to be considered and we have to find ways to support it without distorting trade.

'Export refunds' are paralleled in the US and Canada, 'export credits' etc..

Domestic support is to be lower but the character of an area needs to be protected.

Food safety is of primary concern. There is consumer concern over the processing of food and animal welfare.

Developing countries needs should be met - by special differentiation. There is the Norwegian initiative and also 'trade in everything but arms' which has a strong lobby group. The EU is taking the middle ground, open to negotiation while preserving the social models in Europe. This next round should be easier than the Uruguay round as it will be building on an existing system.

Questions:

Is there an EU model? How can we discuss a new round when domestic policy is not certain? How can we keep farmers on the land?

  • CAP set cereal prices too high in the 1960s and set the scene for cheap feed and BSE. Lower cereal prices allows natural feed for cattle etc.
  • Need to re-establish ratios between different products.(eg population : pigs, ratios:- Netherlands pop x1:pigs x2; Denmark pop x1:pigs x3) Overproduction is a problem.
  • Food scares:- BSE,Foot and Mouth etc; need one system for all members in order to maintain the system. (Netherlands stopped FMD vaccination) Many problems are man made.

Does CAP deliver multi-functionality? What further reforms are necessary? How does that relate to the WTO?

The US doesn't support the precautionary principle, but then applies it on meat imports during the FMD crisis. Who controls the right use of the precautionary principle?

  • If support is not trade distorting it is not part of the WTO discussions (eg maintaing the countryside)

How can developing countries support their social concerns, how can technical assistance be provided?

  • We shouldn't neglect the health etc. of developing countries.

Labelling schemes - how can they be implemented without conflicting with WTO rules?

  • Organic/other processes can be shown to give consumer choice. Increase the farmers share of payment by the use of co-operatives.

TNCs distort markets - and the Green Box aids them. There is a need for open government. There are problems of intelligibilty.

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Agricultural Negotiations at the WTO

Cairns Group   (representatives Argentina and Australia):

18 members; 15 of which are developing (including Argentina) 3 of which are developed (Canada, Australia, New Zealand)

The Cairns group want to see the establishment of a fair market - based agricultural system as a long term objective over a limited period of time. They feel that agriculture is discriminated against in the WTO.

1. Every other sector has fair competition, but not agriculture

2. Subsidies can be challenged in other sector, but not until 2003 in agriculture. They do not want to see the extension of the 'Peace Clause'. (Rich countries do)

3. Agricultural tariffs are 5 times higher than those on technology etc.

4. In all other sectors business is business and social values are subordinate. In agriculture the argument used for 'multi-functionality' works against developing countries . Subsidies work against them too in £bns.

5.The WTO specifically states that ‘Marketing Boards should not be run by national governments’. The Australian Wheat Board has for this reason been floated on the Stock Exchange. (Canada to date is withstanding pressure and continues to have a national Wheat Board.)

WTO should not prevent countries helping social concerns, but countries should also take into consideration social concerns of others (in non-trade concerns).

Consideration of rural poverty, unemployment and environmental protection would contribute to global welfare.

A market economy would reflect availability in prices - the real cost of production, helped by free trade. Subsidies are promoting intensive practises and distort prices. This is felt elsewhere particularly in the developing countries. More than 2/3 of the world's poor live in rural areas. More jobs cannot be provided which leads to more social unrest, instability, immigration and rising nationalism. 'Value added' leads to more tariffs. Developing countries need more processors instead of exporting raw goods. This has a negative effect on the environment. Export subsidies should be outlawed, tariffs on 'value added' goods should be lowered and distorting tariffs removed. There should be an end to 'protectionist' tariffs.

The group is looking for a cut in the 'Blue Box' a shift of emphasis in the 'Green Box', with the removal of export subsidies. There is a need for technical assistance, rural development and poverty control. How can appropriate support be delivered when it is needed? Closures lead to a move from the countryside. Australia's investments in countryside resources (schools, post offices etc) are decoupled from agriculture and result in revitalising the countryside, bringing environmental care etc.

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Agricultural Negotiations at the WTO

Developing Countries   (representatives from India and Egypt)

Concern generally over China (900 million farmers) - not a member of the WTO.

Egypt:

Agriculture represents 20% of GDP and 40% of labour. Rising import costs are detrimental to Egypt's development. Concerns over food security; negative effects of development programmes. Non-trade agreements a cause for concern. Egypt wants reform - needs technology input. Four aims/proposals . Egypt has made agricultural reforms - has improved food security and value of agricultural production. Exports still low.

Looking for enhanced markets; lower tarifs; lower Green Box support; transparency of import/export trade; removal of misuse of subsidies.

The developing world has had to make hard choices to join the global economy, the developed world must do so also.

India:

There have been great changes in the last 50 years. In the 1960s India lived 'ship to mouth'. The Green Revolution has led to India being self-sufficient and able to export;- basmati rice;some wheat; cashew nuts; oils; tea; coffee; spices. (Not a major but a medium exporter.)

Agriculture is 80% of GDP and 65% of labour. If there is anything better to do people will do it, so they move out of agriculture if possible. However they do not want the next WTO round to threaten the livelihood of the farmworkers as they are there because they have little or no choice. India cannot give support to farmers to the level of the developed countries but can give 2-3% (although trying to lower even this). People compare themselves to farmers in Europe and want subsidies. This will lead to a balance of payments problem. Confidence has been shaken by the agricultural crisis of the last few years. Trade reforms and unilateral liberalisation of agriculture by developing countries is feared.

Real distortions need to be removed; market excess addressed - otherwise there will be no discussion on excess. The US puts all in the Green Box - without giving anything - have increased support. India is wary of such non-transparent payments.

Great potential in India but primarily need to support livelihood of farmers and remove trade distortions.


(Chairman's Comments: India has a problem of storage; Egypt can feed own people.)


Q: Is the WTO the right forum for developing countries to discuss their interests?

Q: Who will benefit from improved market access? farmers? producers? etc..

    A: Many family farms - fruit, vegetables etc. Exporting will help to raise prices for farmers.

    In India 90% of earnings of 80% of the population is spent on food.

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